Baccarat Probability

ʶԵФҨ繢ͧҤ

 

            蹺Ҥǹ˹ѡ㨼Դ ᷧᴧ (BANKER) ᷧԹ (PLAYER) ͡ʷЪС ѹ 50 / 50 ѧ鹨ᷧ˹͡¾ ѹ кҧ㨼Դҡҹ ¤ԴͧᷧԹա º͹ͧ¤ҵ 5% 㹤繨ԧǷ 2 ó繤㨼Դ 㹤繨ԧҤѹ 50 / 50 Сᷧᴧҧҡº͹¡ ᷧԹ 觨ҡҨ ҡ֡ѡҨ繷ҧԵʵѡԴз蹺Ҥҧҷѹ ҧҶ֧ºº͹·ش ֡ͧǡ֧繻ªҧԧФԵʵѹˡ 褹ѡѹյҧҡˡͧ ҨѺشѹ ᷧẺº ҡѡõç㹡ҧἹ з͡ʪҡ鹨öԹ͡ҡ͹⹡ѺҹҧҤ

÷֡ͧǡҧ ͤ㨷çѹ ҹ÷ӤѾҧ ¡͹ ѧ

1. ٻẺͧ ¶֧ Ẻͧҧ ж١Դ͡ 3 ԧ (J Q K ) ҼԺ 2 ٻẺͧҧ Ժ ꤡѺ (J,Q) ꤡѺԧ (J,K) Ѻԧ (Q,K) 3 ٻẺ

2. Ҩ ¶֧ ͡ʷ ҡ͡ʷԴ鹵͡ʷ ҡҧ㹢 1 Ҽ仾ѹѺ͹Ժ 2 㺨еͧ͹ ٻẺͧзоѹ ͧԺꤡѺ (J,Q) ꤡѺԧ (J,K) 2 ٻẺ ҡٻẺ 3 ٻẺ ѧ ͡ʷЪоѹ 2 3 0.6667 66.67% ͡ʷ¾ѹ ѹԺѺԧ (Q,K) 1 3 0.3333 33.33% ͧ

3. ѵ / µ˹ ¶֧ Ťٳͧ͡ʷԴ鹡Ѻѵҵͧͪѹѹ Ҫѹ¡ ѵ˹” ѹ¡ ѵµ˹” ҡҧ㹢 2 ҤҾѹ˹ҶҼ¶١ШԹѹ 0.4 ҢͧԹѹ ¡ (ᷧ 1 0.4) ѧ ѵҷ˹ 0.6667 x 0.4 = 0.2667 26.67% ѵҷ 0.3333 x 1 = 0.3333 33.33% ͧ

4. ѵº ¶֧ ҧѵ˹¡Ѻѵµ˹ ҡҧ㹢 3 ѵº 0.2667 - 0.3333 = -0.0667 -6.67% ͧµԴź (-) ʴº 觡þѹ㹺͹ѧѹ͡Ẻº ͧ繺ǡ (+) ѹС繤º͹᷹ äԴٵ ѹ繺ǡЫԺ͡ѹ ¡ѹ件͹

5. ѧࡵ ҡҧҴټԹ͹º ͡ʪж֧ 2 3 Ҩԧ ҤԴӹdz֧ 4 ºͶ֧ 6.67% ͤѹͨԧ

            ͷӤ㨵çѹ ҡ֡ʹʶԵФҨ繢ͧҤҡѹ ¢ŷʴ繢ͧŢͧҤҵðҹҡ 8 Ѻ óշ¡ҹʶԵФҨ§ѹ

 

÷¼ầ

˵ءó

ѵҵͧ

ٻẺͧ

Ҩ

ѵ / µ˹

ầ쪹

+0.95

2,292,252,566,437,880

0.458597

45.86%

+0.435668

43.57%

-1

2,230,518,282,592,250

0.446247

44.62%

-0.446247

-44.62%

0

475,627,426,473,216

0.095156

9.52%

0

0.00%

 

4,998,398,275,503,360

1

100.00%

-0.010579

-1.06%

 

-          ͸Ժµҧ ͡ѹ(BANKER) ͡ʷҨѺ͡ʷҨ¤ 45.86 / 44.62 繵 㹡óչҨº 1.06%

 

÷¼

˵ءó

ѵҵͧ

ٻẺͧ

Ҩ

ѵ / µ˹

+1

2,230,518,282,592,250

0.446247

44.62%

+0.446247

44.62%

-1

2,292,252,566,437,880

0.458597

45.86%

-0.458597

-45.86%

0

475,627,426,473,216

0.095156

9.52%

0

0.00%

 

4,998,398,275,503,360

1.000000

100.00%

-0.012351

-1.24%

 

-          ͸Ժµҧ ͡ѹ (PLAYER) ͡ʷҨѺ͡ʷҨ¤ 44.62 / 45.86 繵 㹡óչҨº 1.24% 觨ҡ͡¼Žầдաҡ͡¼Ž ºѺ͹¡ҹͧ

 

÷¼

˵ءó

ѵҵͧ

ٻẺͧ

Ҩ

ѵ / µ˹

+8

475,627,426,473,216

0.095156

9.52%

+0.761248

76.12%

-1

4,522,770,849,030,130

0.904844

90.48%

-0.446247

-44.62%

 

4,998,398,275,503,360

1.000000

100.00%

-0.143596

-14.36%

 

-          ͸Ժµҧ ͡¼ (TIE) ͡ʷҨѺ͡ʷҨ¤ 9.52 / 90.48 繵 㹡óչҨºͶ֧ 14.36% ѧͺ дաº͹ҧҡ

 

÷¼

˵ءó

ѵҵͧ

ٻẺͧ

Ҩ

ѵ / µ˹

͡

+11

6,448

0.074699

7.47%

+0.821687

82.17%

͡

-1

79,872

0.925301

92.53%

-0.925301

-92.53%

 

86,320

1

100.00%

-0.103614

-10.36%

 

-          ͸Ժµҧ ͡¼ (PAIR) ͡ʷҨѺ͡ʷҨ¤ 7.47 / 92.53 繵 㹡óչҨºͶ֧ 10.36% Ѻ¼ ѧ 繡ôշش

 

÷¼

˵ءó

ѵҵͧ

ٻẺͧ

Ҩ

ѵ / µ˹

͡

+1.5

1,893,735,611,458,560

0.378868

37.89%

+0.568303

56.83%

͡

-1

3,104,662,664,044,800

0.621132

62.11%

-0.621132

-62.11%

 

4,998,398,275,503,360

1

100.00%

-0.052829

-5.28%

 

-          ͸Ժµҧ ͡¼ (SMALL) ͡ʷҨѺ͡ʷҨ¤ 37.89 / 62.11 繵 㹡óչҨº 5.28% 繤ҡҧ

 

÷¼ź

˵ءó

ѵҵͧ

ٻẺͧ

Ҩ

ѵ / µ˹

͡

+0.54

3,104,662,664,044,800

0.621132

62.11%

+0.335411

33.54%

͡

-1

1,893,735,611,458,560

0.378868

37.89%

-0.378868

-37.89%

 

4,998,398,275,503,360

1

100.00%

-0.043457

-4.35%

 

-          ͸Ժµҧ ͡¼ (BIG) ͡ʷҨѺ͡ʷҨ¤ 62.11 / 37.89 繵 㹡óչҨº 4.35% 觹¡ҡóշᷧ ѧ鹶ᷧꡨдաᷧ

 

            ҡʶԵФҨ繢ͧҤҷʴ٨Ҷ͡蹷¼ầ/쪹з蹷ش ͧҡդ ѵº͔ ·شºѺ÷¼Ẻ ͧŧҤ͡÷¼ / դ ѵº͔ ҧ ö ǹ÷¼ҧ ͧҡդ ѵº͔ ٧ҡ ҨͧͺǧѡԴ˹о 仨ͧͷҧ 蹹ҹ͡ҹº٧֧ 10.36% 14.36% ӴѺ ШҡʶԵФҨ繨 ѵº͔ еԴź Ҩᷧҧá ѧº͹·ش պ˹ ҹ͡Թ͹ҡҹ ѧ պ˹ (蹡Ѻҹ) ͷѡ¡ طóغ蹔 ͧ

 

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